Ep. 039 - Brad Gerstner Cut Our 2027 Forecast in Half. We Raised It. (Datacenter, Energy) | Jeremie Ontiveros, Reyk Knuhtsen, Jordan Nanos
Ep. 039 - Brad Gerstner Cut Our 2027 Forecast in Half. We Raised It. (Datacenter, Energy) | Jeremie Ontiveros, Reyk Knuhtsen, Jordan Nanos
Brad Gerstner put our 43 gigawatt forecast for 2027 on All-In, then again in his BG2 sit-down with Jensen, and called it too aggressive. The consensus counter sits near 25 GW, built on moratorium headlines and grid connection fears. Jordan Nanos (@JordanNanos) sits down with Jeremie Ontiveros (@JeremieEO) and Reyk Knuhtsen (@robotknower), who have been tracking the same capacity curve since March 2024, and it has barely moved across every model revision. So they aren't cutting it. They're raisin
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Brad Gerstner 把我們對 2027 年 43 GW 的預測放在 All-In,之後在他與 Jensen 的 BG2 對談中再次提及,並稱其過於激進。共識值約 25 GW,基於停產標題和電網連線恐懼。Jordan Nanos (@JordanNanos) 與 Jeremie Ontiveros (@JeremieEO) 以及 Reyk Knuhtsen (@robotknower) 會面,他們自 2024 年三月以來一直追蹤同一容量曲線,並且在每一次模型修訂中幾乎沒有變動。因此,他們並不是在削減,而是提升。閱讀文章:https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/datacenters-2027-the-year-of-acceleration 0:00 開場白 1:17 2027 年預測辯論 2:21 模型表現記錄 5:27 反對來自何處 8:16 延遲與削減 12:31 前 40 個地點 15:23 先行指標 20:40 模組化建設 25:41 晶片對比資料中心 27:53 回應 Brad Gerstner